#608 Contrarian Real Estate investing in 2026 with Jamison Manwaring

We challenge the fear cycle around real estate and show why disciplined contrarian buying can work in 2026. We walk through real multifamily distress, market absorption, and why basis and debt terms now matter more than flashy rent growth.
• rates rising and bridge debt resets driving distress in capital stacks
• absorption trends in Phoenix versus oversupply in Austin and Dallas
• why coastal markets improved due to scarce new supply
• buying stabilized, well‑located multifamily at 30–40% discounts
• fixed agency debt and conservative leverage restoring cash flow
• where single‑family rentals struggle against concessions
• submarket selection and vintage risk to avoid capex traps
• office at deep discounts to replacement and reposition strategies
• timing the cycle with data, not emotion
• our plan to expand beyond Phoenix while staying selective
You can learn more about Jamison and Neighborhood Ventures Here - https://neighborhood.ventures/
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